📹SATURDAY AM NOR’EASTER UPDATE | This is going to be a major winter storm. I bumped up totals again. Winds will howl to 65 mph somewhere at the shore. Then, there’s the coastal flooding, that looks to be more than the October nor’easter.
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FRIDAY NIGHT UPDATE | Ok, I expanded the areas of who will see 8″-14″ of snow in NJ. For the coast, you know the deal. Nor’easters are more about the coastal flooding and wind than snow. There will be both but it could be worse.
And yes, there is the potential for historic snow in NJ but I’m not there yet.
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FEB. 22-23 LIVE #1: I have my first-call snow forecast and look at the tidal flooding for this increasingly impactful winter storm.
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FRIDAY’S FORECAST | This Feb. 22-23 coastal storm is looking like an all or nearly nothing for the Jersey Shore. Break down the scenarios and what we can say for sure now here. But also, we have much needed rain Friday, too.
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OR
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📹THURSDAY’S FORECAST | I’m calling it. We will see a coastal storm Sunday PM – Monday AM in NJ. However, snowfall totals, and how much tidal flooding there will be still needs to be worked out. In the meanwhile, the shore gets much needed rain over the 24 hours. Let’s talk!
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This fog is thicker than the Ashes on my forehead (Happy Ash Wednesday to all celebrating) 😛.
However, the fog is ONLY where there’s snow cover, or a beach town, in NJ. Here’s why. 👇
Our 24×7 Jersey Shore Weather Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lGssDGu6xk0
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📹WENDESDAY’S FORECAST | Be careful driving/walking in this fog! Otherwise, much needed rain is on the way through Friday. Remember, we’re in drought.
And yes, I’m still tracking a possible snowy Sunday coastal storm, too. 🙂
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Here’s my first rule – climate change is not a religion. You don’t believe in it or not. It’s happening and humans are the cause of it. Whether that’s great for us, bad for us, is not for me to say. That’s where your beliefs come in.
Now, onto the data.
Our long cold snap from the last week of January to Valentine’s Day only broke ONE cold temperature record at both ACY and Atlantic City, our main weather reporting stations. In other words, we’ve had this cold before.
What about the length of it? ACY and AC went 7 days with temperatures under 32F. That’s good for 10th all time at ACY Airport (records back to 1943) and 16th all time in Atlantic City (records back to 1873).
In other words, it’s been colder, for longer several times before.
And those several times before are generally a long time ago.
At ACY Airport 7 of the 9 longer sub-freezing streaks happened before 1980.
In Atlantic City, 13 of the 15 longer sub-freezing streaks happened before 1980.
Climate change doesn’t mean “it’ll never be cold again”. It’s just that it needs to be more unusually cold to produce the same cold as before.
On the opposite end, we can break heat records with less impressive heat. Record warm outpaces record cold more than 3x over in the past 15 years.
I love cold and snow more than most people. I’m not saying how to feel about climate change or not. You are all great and many of us understand that facts/forecasts is not the same as the politics of it.
