FRIDAY’S FORECAST | This Feb. 22-23 coastal storm is looking like an all or nearly nothing for the Jersey Shore. Break down the scenarios and what we can say for sure now here. But also, we have much needed rain Friday, too.
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📹THURSDAY’S FORECAST | I’m calling it. We will see a coastal storm Sunday PM – Monday AM in NJ. However, snowfall totals, and how much tidal flooding there will be still needs to be worked out. In the meanwhile, the shore gets much needed rain over the 24 hours. Let’s talk!
📹WENDESDAY’S FORECAST | Be careful driving/walking in this fog! Otherwise, much needed rain is on the way through Friday. Remember, we’re in drought.
And yes, I’m still tracking a possible snowy Sunday coastal storm, too. 🙂
If your personal forecast feels uncertain this winter, support is available. See You Through It Counseling offers in-person and virtual therapy for children, adults, and couples. Invest in healing that lasts. Visit seeyouthroughitcounseling.com or call 856-335-1352.
Here’s my first rule – climate change is not a religion. You don’t believe in it or not. It’s happening and humans are the cause of it. Whether that’s great for us, bad for us, is not for me to say. That’s where your beliefs come in.
Now, onto the data.
Our long cold snap from the last week of January to Valentine’s Day only broke ONE cold temperature record at both ACY and Atlantic City, our main weather reporting stations. In other words, we’ve had this cold before.
What about the length of it? ACY and AC went 7 days with temperatures under 32F. That’s good for 10th all time at ACY Airport (records back to 1943) and 16th all time in Atlantic City (records back to 1873).
In other words, it’s been colder, for longer several times before.
And those several times before are generally a long time ago.
At ACY Airport 7 of the 9 longer sub-freezing streaks happened before 1980.
In Atlantic City, 13 of the 15 longer sub-freezing streaks happened before 1980.
Climate change doesn’t mean “it’ll never be cold again”. It’s just that it needs to be more unusually cold to produce the same cold as before.
On the opposite end, we can break heat records with less impressive heat. Record warm outpaces record cold more than 3x over in the past 15 years.
I love cold and snow more than most people. I’m not saying how to feel about climate change or not. You are all great and many of us understand that facts/forecasts is not the same as the politics of it.
📹TUESDAY’S FORECAST: Happy Chinese New Year! It’s the year of the Fire Horse. No fires this week, just much needed rain showers that will alleviate this drought. I’m also watching snow and a winter storm for Sunday – Monday, again.
If your personal forecast feels uncertain this winter, support is available. See You Through It Counseling offers in-person and virtual therapy for children, adults, and couples. Invest in healing that lasts. Visit seeyouthroughitcounseling.comain- or call 856-335-1352.
📹SUNDAY FORECAST | It’s a special update! I have an updated look at who snows and who doesn’t tonight as a coastal storm slides to our south.
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SATURDAY’S FORECAST | I’m looking over the data and I can’t deny it. Some snow will fall with our weak coastal storm Sunday night! Otherwise, it’s a seasonable weekend ahead, for a change.